By: Zack Patraw @ffdaily_zTommyP
Dynasty Buys, Sells, Risers, and Fallers
It has been a wild 6 weeks of the NFL season so far. Lots of upsets, too many injuries, and young players showing they belong in the NFL. For most of us, our fantasy football season ends after week 16. For the dynasty folks, the season never ends. Here are some guys you should target, guys you should sell, and guys that I believe are on their way to breaking out. Even a little teaser for your rookie draft next year. Buckle up, lots more football ahead!
Amari Cooper- I know, if you have Amari Cooper, you’ve had countless panic attacks, but trust me, this man is good! The volumes starting to come his way. 31 targets in his last 4 games, 13 of which came in week 6. He’s a big play guy that relies on stretching the field and opening up secondaries. If someone is willing to part ways with the 23 year old at a good price, do not hesitate to snatch him up! He has a lot of time to grow into a great WR.
Corey Davis- I’ve seen multiple occasions where guys must have forgot how great Davis was during his collegiate career. He’s been getting traded left and right in dynasty leagues, and I can’t explain why! Davis had 5,007 yards receiving in his final year at Western Michigan, which is the record by an FBS player. He is the real deal, and when he is fully healthy, which I will assume is after their bye week on week 8, he could have an Odell Beckham Jr. like end to his rookie season.
Joe Mixon- What a slow start by someone who was so highly sought after in every draft format. He’s recently seen his workload increase, and the Bengals coming off their bye week, I’d be willing to bet that Mixon gets his feature workload sooner than later. He’s a tremendous talent, and if you can get a frustrated owner to sell him… Jump on it!
Honorable Mentions: Josh Doctson, T.Y Hilton, and Michael Thomas
Ameer Abdullah- With one full season under his belt, Abdullah is off to another slow start, averaging just 3.8 yards per carry this year. The Lions offensive line has been below average as well this year, ranking 24th in the NFL, according to profootballfocus.com. He’s still a young player (24) who had high potential coming out of college. If you can get an upgrade at a position of need, or a high draft pick, I wouldn’t hesitate making that trade.
Lamar Miller- First I will say, if you have D’onta Foreman, do not trade Lamar Miller! Perfect combination. If Foreman doesn’t take over that RB job in Houston sometime this year, he will have it next year. But, if you don’t have Foreman, go find the owner that does and get what you can out of Miller. High draft pick or a high end WR2 is what I would be looking for.
Will Fuller V- This torrid TD pace Fuller is on is most definitely not sustainable. On his career, he is averaging a TD just about every other game, and this season, he’s averaging over a TD a game. He’s also looking at just over 4 targets a game this year, which is the reason why I think this pace will be unattainable throughout the rest of the season. Sell him at his peak right now, because you could be playing with fire.
Honorable Mentions: Deshaun Watson and Adrian Peterson
Alvin Kamara- Both Alvin Kamara and Mark Ingram had good games in week 6, with Ingram out touching Kamara. However, Ingrams’ fumble woes continue. Something that has really hindered him. Ingram, who is in his 7th season with the Saints, has 9 fumbles on his career. If that becomes another trend this year, I’d look for the rookie Kamara (22) to become the feature back in this offense. Definitely a guy I want on my dynasty team.
Brandin Cooks- I think we keep forgetting that Brandin Cooks is still only 24 years old. He came into the season under a new system with the Patriots. Obviously that’s going to take some time to establish a good rapport with his new teammates. He’s averaging almost 7 targets a game, and has 30 targets in his last 4 games. In 3 out of his last 4 games, he has 309 yards. He’s a big name on the rise, and I will expect big numbers going forward from the stud receiver.
Jarvis Landry- No Parker, no problem for the Dolphins, and Landry has been one of the more consistent Dolphin players. He’s been a target machine, with 57 targets through 5 games this season, and with Parker out last week, he received 14 targets. Parker is again questionable this week, which would put Landry in line for a potential big game against the Jets.
Honorable Mentions: Carson Wentz, Christian McCaffrey, and Kelvin Benjamin
Terrelle Pryor- I’m not sure I can explain why Pryor has been so terrible this year. He has a much better QB throwing him the ball this year, but he can only muster up 209 yards with 16 receptions on 29 targets. Not good. I have a major concern for Pryor going forward. Gruden has said he wants to get Doctson going, and I can’t blame him. Pryor and Crowder both have been bad, and the Redskins drafted Doctson 22nd overall in last years draft. Get the young kid in there and see what he can do. Clearly the WR1 in Washington is not going to be Pryor for much longer.
Ty Montgomery- Is there any other RB that has taken more of a turn downward? Rookie Aaron Jones gets double digit touches in 3 straight weeks. Ty breaks his ribs, and Aaron Rodgers is likely out for the season. I see Jones taking over feature back duties in Green Bay, and possibly moving Montgomery back to his former position at WR. You’re not dropping Montgomery, but maybe try to move him and get some value. I am holding if I own both Montgomery and Jones.
Davante Adams- With Aaron Rodgers going down, is it a surprise that I have 2 Green Bay Packers on this list? Rodgers is obviously what drives that offense in Green Bay, and without him throwing touchdowns to Adams, Adams will have a tough time being a consistent fantasy player the rest of the year. They have fairly tough WR matchups in their final 10 games of the season. Going forward, I would have to put Adams no higher than WR3 consideration.
(Un)Honorable mention(s): Marshawn Lynch
Derrick Henry- This guy is a beast! So far in his 2nd year through 6 games, Henry has rushed for 318 yards, that’s 172 yards away from tying his rookie season yards, a year in which he put up 490 rushing yards. Mike Mularky has made it clear that he wants to get Henry the ball more, and I would have to agree with him. Look for him to breakout and have more opportunities going forward.
Sterling Shepard- Someone has to catch the ball for Eli, right?! With the Giants decimated at the WR position, Shepard is in line for a major production increase. He has a tough matchup against a good Seattle D, but after their bye week, it gets significantly easier. He recently has been fairly productive, posting 12 receptions on 15 targets in his prior two games before being injured. I like him as a low end WR2 going forward, and look for him to be a good compliment to Beckham Jr. next year as well.
Josh Doctson- Doctson is entering his sophomore season, hoping he will be able to complete it fully healthy, unlike last season. Recently, Pryor and Crowder have been inefficient and very unproductive for Kirk Cousins and the Redskins, but somehow they have still find ways to win games. Gruden has said that he wants to get Doctson more work, and this may be the week that it happens. He’s a young kid (24) that has some things to learn still, but he may end up being the WR you can count on in Washington.
Honorable Mentions: JuJu Smith-Schuster, Mike Williams, and Marlon Mack