By: AJ Flores @ChxckenAlfredo
Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em
Must Start – Carson Palmer vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Points Scored: 23.7
Palmer will look to find the end zone more in week 6 against the Buccaneers who give up the most to opposing QBs. Tampa was able to keep a Gronk-less New England Patriots team relatively quiet. The Cardinals have their WRs healthy going into the week and the passing attack is the only option they have working for them.
Start – Deshaun Watson vs Cleveland Browns
Points Scored: 25.5
I’m sure everyone is well aware I had him on the sit list last week. We see how that turned out. Cleveland has given up a T-2nd most touchdowns in the league. Watson may not have to throw for a ton of yards in this game as they should get up easily and early, but the touchdowns should be continue flowing.
Start – Trevor Siemian vs New York Giants
Points Scored: 19.7
The Giants are awful. They’re rolling into week 6 winless and without their top two WRs. This Giants defense is giving up 2 touchdowns a game and are 10th in points per game given up. Denver has had two weeks to prepare for this game and will be hosting in mile high.
Must Sit – Jared Goff @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Points Scored: 11.1
For a second straight week, Goff finds himself on this list. Jacksonville is looking like an elite pass defense with Ramsey & Bouye. The Jaguars are coming off a 5 interception game against Big Ben and the Steelers.
Sit – Derek Carr vs Los Angeles Chargers
Points Scored: 8.5
This one may be more of a bailout with most of the top defenses against the pass on a bye this week, but with the injury and talk of return after only a week’s rest, I’m avoiding playing Carr. Los Angeles found their first win against the Giants last week and will look to keep the momentum moving. Along with this, the O-Line hasn’t looked like one of the top lines so far this year and the Chargers have Joey Bosa on the other end.
Sit – Cam Newton vs Philadelphia Eagles
Points Scored: 23
The Eagles have been giving up a lot of yards through the air but have only given up multiple touchdown games twice. The defense is coming off a solid game in which the Cardinals couldn’t get the run game going and held them to 7 points (Cards were averaging 18.5 a game). Two of the top defenses will be facing off on Thursday night.
Must Start – Alvin Kamara vs Detroit Lions
Points Scored: 12.7
Following the trade of Adrian Peterson to the Cardinals, that now solidifies Kamara as the #2 and passing down back. Payton has a hatred for whatever reason with Ingram and if Ingram is to go down, Payton will take full advantage of that to make Kamara the workhorse. The Lions are giving up 3.48 yards per carry which isn’t the greatest, but they are giving up on average 6 catches & 58 yards a game to receiving backs which is where Kamara is money.
Start – Elijah McGuire vs New England Patriots
Points Scored: 2.2
New England has given up 6 total TDs and 944 yards to backs in 5 games. On average the Patriots are giving up 5.2 yards per carry. McGuire is in line for an increased workload with Forte and Powell both potentially missing due to injuries. The rookie is averaging 5.2 yards per carry on 34 rushes. Look for the rookie to breakout in week 6 against this awful New England defense.
Start – CJ Anderson vs New York Giants
Points Scored: 1.7
The Giants have given up 595 yards on the ground to running backs and 4 total touchdowns this season. Along with starting Siemian, the Broncos should be in clock killing mode much of the second half with the Giants being decimated last game at WR. This will be CJs first matchup with the Giants and after a week’s rest, he’ll look to have a big game.
Must Sit – Jonathan Stewart vs Philadelphia Eagles
Points Scored: -0.4
The Eagles front 7 is about as tough as they come. Through their season they’ve given up 239 yards in 5 games. They’re only giving up 3.24 yards per carry. In 4 career games against the Eagles, Stewart has had one game go over 40 yards rushing, has 1 rushing touchdown, and 1 receiving touchdown. Stewart has aged and the defense has gotten better. Look for more #RunCMC than JStew.
Sit – Ty Montgomery @ Minnesota Vikings
Points Scored: 4.1
The Packers are far superior than the Bears, but the Vikings defense looked fairly good last night while seeing them first hand. Yes, the Bears were starting their second overall draft pick Trubisky, but the combination of Howard and Cohen didn’t get much going. Along with going against a stout defense, the emergence of Aaron Jones will cut into his touches. This being, if he is good to go after missing last week’s game due to broken ribs.
Sit – Doug Martin @ Arizona Cardinals
Points Scored: 15.4
The Arizona Cardinals have a solid line and a decent core of backers. Their main problem is the secondary playing behind Patrick Peterson. Jameis and crew will have to work the rest of that secondary in this game. The Cardinals are top 5 in fewest points allowed to running backs and this will be Doug’s second game back from suspension.
Must Start – Terrelle Pryor Sr. vs San Francisco 49ers
Points Scored: 5.3
Last time we saw Terrelle he caught 3 passes for 70 yards and a touchdown. Kirk and Terrelle may have found something and have had a week to build off of it. Pryor is the most targeted receiver on the team and is going up against a defense that has given up the 4th most yards in the league and top 10 in points given up to receivers.
Start – Amari Cooper vs Los Angeles Chargers
Points Scored: 7.8
I absolutely do not care how bad he has been. This is not the back to back 1k yard receiver we’ve seen in the past. He is about to break this slump, as he has averaged 3 catches, 70+ yards and a touchdown in every other game against the Chargers in his career. The Chargers are one of the worst defenses against WRs to date this season. Be confident starting Amari.
Start – DeSean Jackson @ Arizona Cardinals
Points Scored: 12.8
This is the second week in a row for DeSean to make my list. Evans should be shadowed by Peterson, which should allow DJax to go off for another good game here. We saw last week what Wentz was able to do with Torrey Smith and Nelson Agholor who posted a combined 7-163-2 on 9 targets.
Must Sit – Demaryius Thomas vs New York Giants
Points Scored: 21.3
DT hasn’t been the same in a long time. It’s clear Siemian slightly favors Sanders more. Anyways, Jenkins should be lined up against DT a lot in this matchup which doesn’t bode well for him. Only chance of a breakout game here, is that the NYG defense is on the field for far too long.
Sit – Sammy Watkins @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Points Scored: 2.1
Jacksonville’s corners are killing it this year limiting teams to around 118 yards per game to wide receivers. Also with that low number, they have only allowed 2 touchdowns on the year. McVay stressed that they would try to get the ball more to Sammy, but in this game, it won’t be happening as Jacksonville is a top 10 defense in fewest yards allowed to WR.
Sit – Tyreek Hill vs Pittsburgh Steelers
Points Scored: 7.5
The Steelers are #1 in fewest points allowed to the position, given up less than 100 yards to receivers a game, and only 2 touchdowns thus far during the season. The Chiefs may also be without star tight end Travis Kelce as well, which will make it easier for the Steelers to give some extra help slowing down Hill.
Must Start – AJ Derby vs New York Giants
Points Scored: 2
Derby had a stellar one handed grab in week 4 that went for a touchdown against the Raiders. The Giants are top 3 in points allowed to the position, mostly due to the fact that they’ve given up a touchdown to the position in as many games played.
Start – Austin Seferian-Jenkins vs New England Patriots
Points Scored: 16.6
An ex-Buc, should see similar looks again this week and put up similar if not better number against the 4th worst defense against TEs. New England has also given up 4 touchdowns through the first 5 games to the position. McCown should be feeding ASJ again this week as there aren’t many options on that team to throw to.
Start – George Kittle @ Washington Redskins
Points Scored: 8.6
The rookie is coming off his best game against Indianapolis, where he caught 7 of 9 passes for 83 yards and a touchdown. With this game looking to be a shootout due to Norman missing some time, the rookie TE could be in for another big game against the 2nd worst team against TEs.
Must Sit – Eric Ebron @ New Orleans Saints
Points Scored: 1.9
Ebron hasn’t lived up to the hype thus far and I don’t see it changing as Fells saw both touchdowns last game for the position. On top not living up to the hype, New Orleans has allowed an average of 46 yards per game to TEs. They’ve had an extra week to prepare for the Lions and they are on the road.
Sit – Jordan Reed vs San Francisco 49ers
Points Scored: 7.7
Jordan hasn’t shown us who he has been in years past. Going to attribute that to him not being 100% healthy this season and as @football_Kelly said it best, “Best ability issssss availability”. Along with not being 100% available, the 9ers are the best against TEs. The 9ers have given up the fewest yards (even with more games played than others) and 0 touchdowns so far.
I fully support the Ertz > Reed argument. Best ability issssss availability and he has really come into his own with Wentz (consistent QB)
— Kelly (@football_Kelly) October 7, 2017
Sit – Kyle Rudolph vs Green Bay Packers
Points Scored: 9.7
Even though Kyle scored a touchdown on Monday night against the Bears (one of the top 10 in points given up), the Packers have shut down TEs. They’ve given up roughly 4 catches and 34 yards a game and 0 touchdowns. Along with that, the Packers have given up the 2nd fewest points to TEs. My other concern is who will be playing QB and how bad the run game could be.