By: AJ Flores @ChxckenAlfredo
Updated: 11/22/2017

Week 12 Home

Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em
Week 12

Must Start ‘em – Matt Moore @ New England Patriots
Points Scored: 11.6
Rank: 24

The New England Patriots have allowed the most passing yards per game at nearly 300. They’ve allowed 18 TDs and have single digit interception numbers. They are giving up the second most ppg. Matt Moore has had 3 starts, 2 being in this decade. His last two starts combined for 486 yards, 5 TDs and 2 interceptions.

Start ‘em – Paxton Lynch @ Oakland Raiders
Points Scored: 2
Rank: 34

The Oakland Raiders have 0 interceptions on the season! ZERO! They’ve allowed 17 touchdowns through their 10 games and give up the 7th most PPG to QBs. If Brock Osweiler put up over 500 yards in two games against the Raiders, Lynch should be good for 250 and a TD or two.

Start ‘em – Marcus Mariota @ Indianapolis Colts
Points Scored: 9.6
Rank: 27

The Colts are a top 5 team in terms of points given up the QB position. They’ve allowed 287 yards per game and 15 touchdowns through 10. Mariota has had some success in the past 2 seasons, posting 828 yards, 5 touchdowns and 1 interception.

Must sit ‘em – Drew Brees @ Los Angeles Rams
Points Scored: 16.8
Rank: 18

Yes, yes I did just put Drew Brees on the ‘sit’ list. In 7 career games against the Rams, Drew has 1 game without throwing multiple interceptions. The Rams are 4th in fewest ppg given up, having allowed 12 touchdowns and taking away 11 passes.

Sit ‘em – Matthew Stafford vs Minnesota Vikings
Points Scored: 16.5
Rank: 19

The Vikings are giving up the 7th fewest ppg to QBs. They also just came off a performance where they shut down the #1 scoring offense at the time. Stafford has averaged 242 yards, 1.29 TDs and .29 interceptions in 7 games at home against the Vikings. His latest matchup saw only 209 yards and 0 scores or picks on the road.

Sit ‘em – Dak Prescott vs Los Angeles Chargers
Points Scored: 4.9
Rank: 31

Dak has been on a downward spiral the last two weeks, mainly because of starting LT Tyron Smith. The Cowboys have given up an absurd amount of sacks and Dak has lost 3 fumbles in the meantime. Dak has been unable to put up a touchdown as well and threw a career high 3 interceptions last week. The Chargers are 9th in fewest ppg given up, having 12 interceptions to match the 12 touchdowns they’ve allowed. Joey Bosa & Melvin Ingram are serious pass rushers that will get to Dak often.

Oct 1, 2017; Seattle, WA, USA; Seattle Seahawks running back J.D. McKissic (21) celebrates after scoring a touchdown in the second half against the Indianapolis Colts at CenturyLink Field. The Seahawks won 46-18. Mandatory Credit: Troy Wayrynen-USA TODAY Sports

Must start ‘em – J.D. McKissic / Mike Davis @ San Francisco 49ers
Points Scored: 8.6
Rank: 32

The 49ers allow the most ppg. They’ve given up 10 total touchdowns and 1,700+ total yards. Russell shouldn’t have to throw like he did on Monday night to keep his team in this game. Eddie Lacy clearly isn’t the option to go with in Seattle. McKissic saw 12 total touches and Mike Davis saw 8 total touches.

Start ‘em – Alfred Morris vs Los Angeles Chargers
Points Scored: 5.9
Rank: 43

Alfred looks to be the lead back in this system since Ezekiel’s suspension. After seeing 17 carries totaling 91 yards against the Eagles, the Chargers are giving up the 3rd most ppg. The Chargers are solid on the edge, but in the middle they’re softer than a pillow pet. In 1 previous game against the Chargers for Morris, he had 25 carries for 121 yards and a touchdown. Keep in mind this was back in 2013.

Start ‘em – Latavius Murray @ Detroit Lions
Points Scored: 14.4
Rank: 11

Since week 6, Murray has rushed the ball 15+ times a game. He’s averaging 4.08 yards per carry over these 5 games. Murray has also posted 4 touchdowns over the span of these 5 games. Detroit is giving up the 4th most PPG and allowing 4.38 yards per carry. They’ve allowed 10 rushing touchdowns and 1 receiving touchdown.

Must sit ‘em – Ameer Abdullah vs Minnesota Vikings
Points Scored: 7.3
Rank: 39

Minnesota is the 2nd best team in the league against RBs, having allowed only 4 total touchdowns. Along with that low number they have allowed only 105 total yards per game. The fact that the Lions use two backs doesn’t bode well for Abdullah. In his previous matchup this season against the Vikings he did total a line of 20-94-1. The Vikings are coming off a huge stopping of #1 RB Todd Gurley.

Sit ‘em – Jordan Howard @ Philadelphia Eagles
Points Scored: 3.9
Rank: 58

Jordan Howard draws a tough matchup on the road against one of the hottest teams in the league. The Eagles are the #1 scoring offense and the Bears are going to need their rookie QB to try and keep pace. The Eagles are the 3rd best team in the league giving up only 19 ppg to backs. Through 10 games, the Eagles have allowed more TDs receiving than on the ground, I’d feel safer firing up Tarik Cohen.

Sit ‘em – Leonard Fournette @ Arizona Cardinals
Points Scored: 7.2
Rank: 40

The Cardinals have given up the 6th fewest yards rushing and 7th fewest ppg to the position. This game should be rather low scoring so I don’t see the run game being abandoned, Arizona is just better beat against anyone not named Patrick Peterson through the air.

Must start ‘em – Kenny Stills @ New England Patriots
Points Scored: 7.7
Rank: 52

If Matt Moore is starting, startup Kenny Stills as well. In the 3 games Moore has played in, he’s found Kenny to account for all 3 of his TDs. Stills is facing the 3rd worst defense against WRs. Stills numbers in games Moore has played in are 18-330-3 on 27 targets. Fire him up against this Patriots defense that has given up 10 touchdowns to WRs. In 5 games against NE, Stills has either topped 50 yards or caught a TD in 4/5 games.

Start ‘em – T.Y. Hilton vs Tennessee Titans
Points Scored: 3.5
Rank: 84

Yes, T.Y. hasn’t been really good against anyone but the worst defenses in the league. The Titans match up to be one of those bad defenses. They have given up the 5th most ppg to WRs. The Titans are giving up 151 yards per game and 2 touchdowns ever other game. T.Y. has career averages of 4 catches for 60 yards over 11 games in his career.

Start ‘em – Corey Davis @ Indianapolis Colts
Points Scored: 7.9
Rank: 50

The rookie WR has saw less than 5 targets only once this season, coming in the game where he injured his hamstring. The Colts are giving up the 7th most ppg to WRs and have allowed 8 touchdowns. Look for the rookie to make the most out of his targets against a team giving up 180 yards to WRs.

Must sit ‘em – Larry Fitzgerald vs Jacksonville Jaguars
Points Scored: 6.2
Rank: 61

This defense is legit and after adding Marcell Dareus they’ve only gotten better. This defense is 1st in fewest ppg given up to WRs. Allowing only 107 yards per game and 2 TDs through their 10 games. Off the Averages, Larry would need all the work to get the 9 catches 107 yards that Jacksonville allows per game.

Sit ‘em – Michael Crabtree vs Denver Broncos
Points Scored: 0 *Ejected
Rank: N/A

The Oakland Raiders have looked bleak compared to the team we saw last year or were hoping to see this year. Since joining the Raiders, Crabtree has topped 50 yards once and caught 5 or more passes once. He also hasn’t scored a TD since 2010 against the Broncos. The Broncos are the 3rd best team against WRs allowing 9 catches, 106 yards, and a touchdown per game.

Sit ‘em – Corey Coleman @ Cincinnati Bengals
Points Scored: 9.4
Rank: 44

In 1 previous matchup, Coleman went 3-26-0 on 11 targets against the Bengals. Cincinnati is 4th against WRs, allowing 9 catches, 119 yards per game, and only 8 total touchdowns on the year. The rookie QB will be on the road where he is averaging about 219 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions a game.

Must start ‘em – Vernon Davis vs New York Giants
Points Scored: 0
Rank: 62

If Jordan Reed is to miss (again), the Giants are giving up the most ppg to the TE position. Giving up an average of 5 catches, 71 yards, and almost a touchdown every game. Davis’ career numbers against the Giants aren’t that great, but he’s had 60 yards or more in 6 of his last 7 games.

Start ‘em – Jared Cook vs Denver Broncos
Points Scored: 1.1
Rank: 50

Jared Cook didn’t have a great first matchup since joining the Raiders against the Broncos, but there were some catches he should have made to have a huge day. Jared has saw at least 5 targets in 4 straight weeks, totaling 20-326-0. The Broncos are the 2nd worst team in the league against TEs allowing 5 catches, 75 yards per game. They’ve also given up 7 touchdowns to the TE positon.

Start ‘em – Tyler Kroft vs Cleveland Browns
Points Scored: 10.4
Rank: 11

In Kroft’s last meeting against the Browns he had a huge day going 6-68-2. The Browns are the 3rd worst team against TEs allowing 6 catches and 60 yards per game. Besides for Kroft’s 2 TD game, the Browns have allowed 6 TDs in their other 9 games.

Must sit ‘em – Jason Witten vs Los Angeles Chargers
Points Scored: 11.4
Rank: 9

The Chargers are allowing 4 catches and 47 yards per game to opposing TEs. They have allowed only one TD through the season. In 3 career games for Witten he has never topped 50 yards or had a score.

Sit ‘em – Jimmy Graham @ San Francisco 49ers
Points Scored: 12.4
Rank: 8

The 49ers are allowing nearly 4 catches and 34 yards per game. They’ve only allowed 4 touchdowns through their first 10 games. In the first meeting of the season Graham went 1-1-0 on 2 targets. In his career against the 9ers (9 games) he has scored in 2 games.

Sit ‘em – Austin Seferian-Jenkins vs Carolina Panthers
Points Scored: 4.7
Rank: 27

In 2 games against the Panthers, both while on the Buccaneers, ASJ has totaled 4-74-0. The Panthers are 8th against TEs in fewest ppg allowed. Carolina is giving up averages of 3 catches and 37 yards. They’ve allowed 5 touchdowns in their 10 games to the position.