By: AJ Flores @ChxckenAlfredo
Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em – Week 5
Must Start – Jameis Winston vs New England Patriots
Points Scored: 21.8
This might be an obvious one, but New England has given up 300+ yards and multiple touchdowns in all 4 games this season. Jameis is coming off his 3rd most passing yards in his career and for the first time since December 2015, he broke 10+ yards per pass attempt. New England has also given up a tied league leading 11 touchdowns this year through the air.
Start – Jay Cutler vs Tennessee Titans
Points Scored: 7.4
Jay is getting his first start at his new official home for the 2017 season in Miami this week against the Titans. The Titans are the other team tied with the Patriots with 11 passing touchdowns given up. Along with the Titans being tied with the Patriots, they are trailing them as the second worst team against QBs in PPG given up. In 2 previous games against the Titans spanning 5 years apart a game, he’s posted 439 yards, 35 completions with 47 attempts, and 5 touchdowns with 0 interceptions.
Start – Brian Hoyer @ Indianapolis Colts
Points Scored: 25.6
In Hoyer’s 2 latest games against the Colts, he has topped 300+ yards passing with at least two touchdowns. The Colts are top 4 in points given up to opposing QBs and have given up 8 total touchdowns to QBs this season. Look for Hoyer to target Garcon often this week.
Must Sit – Jared Goff vs Seattle Seahawks
Points Scored: 10.6
The Seahawks have allowed fewer than 200 yards per game passing and only 1 touchdown per game. Goff has been solid this year only turning the ball over once, but he is going up against a defense that is top 10 against quarterbacks a quarter of the way through the season.
Sit – Tyrod Taylor @ Cincinnati Bengals
Points Scored: 10.6
Tyrod has just lost Jordan Matthews for a few weeks, along with facing a defense just outside the top 10 against QBs. Yes we saw Watson light up this defense on a Thursday night, but Houston has more offensive weapons to work with. Also the Bengals defense got Burfict back last week so now he has some game snaps under his belt for this season. Tyrod is 1-0 in a previous game as a starter, but totaled 166 yards and 1 interception.
Sit – Deshaun Watson vs Kansas City Chiefs
Points Scored: 38.1
Deshaun is faced with a tough task, going up a top 10 defense that has allowed only 2 touchdowns to opposing QBs through 4 games. The Chiefs defense is allowing a little over 200 yards through the air and 13 points on average to the QB position. The rookie is a sit versus this undefeated team.
Must Start – Marshawn Lynch vs Baltimore Ravens
Points Scored: 12.3
This should be a nice matchup where the Raiders O-Line can redeem themselves and get back on track. The Raiders return home and face a Ravens defense has given up 4.38 yards per carry and 3 touchdowns. The Ravens are top 5 in most ppg given up to RBs and we should be on the lookout for the return of #BeastMode.
Start – Wayne Gallman vs Los Angeles Chargers
Points Scored: 13.2
With the injury to Paul Perkins, Gallman saw 31 snaps and 13 touches (11 rushes / 2 receptions) that totaled 50 yards and a touchdown. The Chargers have given up the most rushing yards in the league and are top 10 in most points per game given up to the position. I expect for the rookie to continue to see snaps and touches regardless of Perkins here on out after he totaled 19 yards on 10 touches.
Start – Alex Collins @ Oakland Raiders
Points Scored: 5.5
Alex Collins looks to be the leading back in Baltimore and if he can hold onto the ball, he can run away with this job. The Raiders are giving up 4.2 yards per carry but have yet to let a touchdown on the ground. The Raiders have given up 648 total yards to RBs through 4 games this year. Look for Collins to be a Flex play.
Must Sit – Jordan Howard / Tarik Cohen vs Minnesota Vikings
Points Scored: 7.6/1.7
Not a whole lot to say here, as the Vikings are top 10 in fewest yards rushing and allowing 3.24 yards per carry. With that being said, the Bears are also trotting out first round pick Mitchell Trubisky and throwing him into the fire on Monday night football. The Bears WRs aren’t what they used to be and aren’t anything to be afraid of. So the Vikings could look to stack the box and are second in fewest points allowed per game from RBs.
Sit – Demarco Murray vs Miami Dolphins
Points Scored: 8.9
The Dolphins are allowing 3.24 yards per carry through 4 games. Along with that number being low, Murray is losing touches to Henry at a rapid rate. Mariota may be missing this week and that will not bode well for the run game as I have Jay Cutler starting whose teams have put up 30+ in his previous two matchups.
Sit – Lamar Miller vs Kansas City Chiefs
Points Scored: 10.9
The Chiefs have only allowed 327 yards rushing through 4 games and only allowed 1 touchdown since giving up 3 in the first game to Mike Gillislee. They’re giving up just roughly 4 catches and 29 yards to opposing backs. This will be a tough game as the Chiefs are averaging 30 points a game, it could be all passing as they try to play catch up. Kansas City is coming off allowing 73 yards on 19 carries and 1 catch for 4 yards against the redskins.
Must Start – Jaron Brown @ Philadelphia Eagles
Points Scored: 6.9
The Eagles are getting torched through the air since losing the addition of Darby week 1. They’ve given up the most yards through 4 games and Jaron Brown is coming off his career high in receptions and yards last week. Jaron is also seeing an average of 7 targets a game and 3rd on the team in that category.
Start – DeSean Jackson vs New England Patriots
Points Scored: 15.6
The Patriots have given up the second most yards through the air behind the Eagles and it should come as no surprise that this game should be one of the better Thursday games this year. Evans will draw a ton of attention which should open up the field for DJax to run wild this week. Panthers WR2 Devin Funchess just went 7-70-2.
Start – Pierre Garcon @ Indianapolis Colts
Points Scored: 17.4
This is a 2nd return to Pierre’s first team back in the Manning Era. Pierre will look to be better than he was back in 2014 with the Redskins as he didn’t produce well with Colt McCoy at the helm. To help that, Hoyer loves targeting his WR1 and will look to take advantage of the 3rd ranked team in most yards given up to WRs.
Must Sit – Alshon Jeffery vs Arizona Cardinals
Points Scored: 6.1
Not much more to say here than that Peterson should be shadowing Jeffery most of the game. Peterson has shut down Dez and Garcon the past couple weeks and the Eagles should be looking for offense elsewhere.
Sit – Keenan Allen @ New York Giants
Points Scored: 10.7
Against teams with fairly good CBs (DEN/KC), Keenan is 10 of 19 with 96 yards and 1 touchdown. Janoris should be covering Keenan most of the day and will look to limit him as the Giants are top 10 in fewest yards given up to WRs.
Sit – Amari Cooper vs Baltimore Ravens
Points Scored: 1.8
The Ravens are getting help here with Carr being out for 2+ weeks. Even if Carr were to play, I wouldn’t be starting any Raiders WRs if I had other options due to the fact the Ravens are top 5 in fewest pass yards allowed to WRs and only 2 touchdowns given up. Cooper should be downgraded with EJ Manuel under center.
Must Start – Jared Cook vs Baltimore Ravens
Points Scored: 3.5
I’m firing up Jared Cook against the Ravens due to the fact he saw 4 targets in 4 series with a redzone look after Manuel entered the game. The Ravens are top 5 in most points given up to the TE position with averages of 4 catches, 57 yards, and a touchdown per game.
Start – Antonio Gates/Hunter Henry @ New York Giants
Points Scored: 4.3/13.2
The Giants have given up the most points against TEs and I don’t see that changing here. Rivers loves old man Gates and he’s still seeing a fair amount of snaps in the redzone. The reason I have Henry on here is due to the fact 3 out of 4 games they’ve saw about equal snaps.
Start – Cameron Brate vs New England Patriots
Points Scored: 17.8
The Patriots are giving up the 5th most yards to TEs through the first four. We saw the Jameis to Brate show last week as he led the team in receiving yards against the Giants. Look for Jameis to continue to love Brate through this shootout game.
Must Sit – Jack Doyle vs San Francisco 49ers
Points Scored: N/A
Jacoby is targeting his TE the 2nd most on the team and he’s tied for the team lead in receptions with T.Y., but Hilton should take the lead here after week 4. San Francisco is 1st in fewest points allowed to TEs and have given up less than 100 yards and 0 touchdowns this season. This is one of San Fransisco’s strong points. Brissett will be finding T.Y. early and often in this one.
Sit– Eric Ebron vs Carolina Panthers
Points Scored: 1.6
The Panthers LBs are some of the best in the league against TEs and they’re proving it with the 4th fewest points per game allowed. They’ve allowed roughly 4 catches and 40 yards per game with 0 touchdowns given up through the year. The Lions will use Tate and company to keep this offense moving.
Sit – Zach Miller vs Minnesota Vikings
Points Scored: 12.9
As much as rookie QBs love their TEs, this is a tough spot for Trubisky to start. Monday Night Football in a division game against one of the better secondaries in the league. The Vikings are giving up 5 catches for 50 yards a game. The Vikings haven’t given up a touchdown to TEs in games where the QB hasn’t passed for more than 200 yards and unless you see Trubisky doing so, fade the Bears this week.